The Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease

Early identification of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) remains challenging despite its importance for timely intervention, management of modifiable risk factors, and care planning. We developed and evaluated ADRD onset prediction models using longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs) from the All of Us Research Program at clinically meaningful lead times of 6, 12, 24, and 36 months before diagnosis, benchmarking interpretable count-based representations against four publicly available pretrained clinical foundation models (CLMBR-T, GPT-style, LLaMA-style, and Mamba) across multiple ADRD phenotype definitions. Count-based models consistently achieved the highest discrimination and calibration across all cohorts and prediction horizons. Predictive performance declined with increasing lead time for all approaches; however, the performance gap between count-based and pretrained representations progressively narrowed, with foundation models achieving comparable AUROC of 0.719 (compared to the AUROC of 0.738 of count-based model) at the 36-month horizon while providing higher sensitivity and F1 scores under a fixed operating threshold. External validation with zero-shot evaluation on UChicago EHRs exhibited limited generalizability for count-based and pretrained clinical foundation model based representations. These findings demonstrate that transparent count-based EHR representations remain the strongest overall approach for ADRD onset prediction, while pretrained clinical foundation models provide complementary advantages for long-term risk identification and establish a benchmark for evaluating transferable clinical representations in temporal ADRD risk prediction.

Accurate prediction of progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD) is important for prognosis, patient management, and clinical trial enrollment. Cognitive and functional assessments are routinely used in memory clinics, but their relative predictive value remains unclear. We sought to identify which assessments are most predictive of 24-month progression from MCI to AD. We analyzed 2,430 participants with baseline MCI from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) who were classified by 24-month progression to AD. Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) models were trained using repeated stratified 5-fold cross-validation with 10 repetitions. We compared demographic and genetic variables, global cognitive measures (MMSE, ADAS-Cog13, CDR-SB, MoCA), episodic memory, executive function, functional status, and Everyday Cognition (ECog) questionnaires. The baseline clinical model (age, sex, education, APOE {varepsilon}4 status) achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.692. Episodic memory showed the highest predictive performance (AUC = 0.915), followed by the Functional Activities Questionnaire (AUC = 0.913). Combining episodic memory, functional assessment, and executive function achieved the best performance (AUC = 0.943, sensitivity = 0.857, specificity = 0.889). Among individual memory measures, Logical Memory Delayed Recall achieved the highest standalone performance (AUC = 0.896), whereas RAVLT Learning provided minimal incremental value. Episodic memory demonstrated the strongest predictive performance among the individual assessment domains evaluated of 24-month progression from MCI to AD, with functional assessment providing substantial complementary value. Streamlined assessment batteries emphasizing episodic memory and functional status may improve efficient risk stratification in memory clinics and AD clinical trials.

Multimodal biomarkers have transformed Alzheimer's disease research, but the incremental contribution of individual modalities to predicting progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) remains unclear. We systematically evaluated the contribution of demographic, cognitive, genetic, structural imaging, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), and positron emission tomography (PET) biomarkers using a comprehensive ablation framework. We analyzed 2,430 participants with MCI from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative with known 24-month progression status. XGBoost models were trained using combinations of demographic variables, cognitive assessments, apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotype, structural MRI, CSF biomarkers, and PET biomarkers. Performance was evaluated using repeated stratified 5X10 cross-validation, with out-of-fold AUC comparisons and Holm-Bonferroni correction. Sensitivity analyses assessed the effects of missing-data handling. The full multimodal model achieved the highest discrimination (AUC=0.934). Excluding cognitive assessments produced the largest reduction in performance (AUC=0.883, P<0.001). Removing APOE, CSF, or MRI produced only modest reductions (AUC=0.933, 0.931, and 0.932, respectively). PET produced a similarly small reduction in the primary analysis (AUC=0.932), although complete-case analysis indicated that imputation significantly inflated its performance (P=0.005), suggesting that its contribution may be underestimated or obscured by missingness. The baseline clinical model performed near chance (AUC=0.556). These findings establish an evidence-based hierarchy of biomarker contributions and provide a quantitative framework for prioritizing biomarker acquisition and designing cost-effective multimodal prediction models.

Background Fluid biomarkers enable the demonstration of the biological effects of novel therapies in Alzheimers disease (AD). However, longitudinal biomarker data are sparse and sample size calculations for fluid biomarkers are often lacking. Here, we provided longitudinal CSF and plasma AD biomarkers measured in samples collected in a placebo arm in a 1.5-year phase 2b trial, allowing us to study natural trajectories, required sample sizes and heterogeneity in early AD clinical trials. Methods We studied individuals from the placebo group (MCI due to AD (n=65) and AD dementia (n=41)) of the T-817MA trial (NCT04191486) with positive CSF AD biomarkers (mean age=69(7) years, Female=63%). Longitudinal biomarker changes in CSF (A{beta}42, A{beta}40, A{beta}42/40, pTau181, pTau217, NFL, tTau, YKL40, NRGN, ABL1, CHIT1, CLEC5A, ITGB2, MMP10, SDC4, SPON2, THBD) and plasma biomarkers (A{beta}42, A{beta}40, A{beta}42/40, pTau181, pTau217, NFL, GFAP) were analyzed with linear mixed-effect models. Required sample size estimates for predefined treatment effects were generated. Lastly, we investigated the influence of between person variability in biomarker change by simulating a randomized clinical trial (1:1) 10000 times, and assessed the group differences at 1.5 years. Findings Fourteen biomarkers changed over time, with the largest annual changes observed for plasma pTau217 (+9.8%), CSF MMP10 (+7.1%), and CSF NFL (+6.9%), and CSF A{beta}40 by (-4.0%), CSF pTau217 (-3.0%), and CSF NRGN (-2.5%). To show a 30% change, similar to biomarker effects of approved AD drugs, almost all markers required less than 45 patients per trial arm. To reach normalized levels, established CSF markers required lower sample sizes than plasma markers. The effects of heterogeneity over time were approximately twice as large in plasma compared to CSF. Interpretation These findings offer insights into the biomarker trajectories and power in early AD, supporting more informed endpoint selection and forming a frame of reference for the interpretation of treatment effects in clinical trials.

Background: Plasma phosphorylated tau at threonine 217 (p-Tau217) is a leading blood-based biomarker for Alzheimer's disease (AD). Robust analytical characterization on high-throughput platforms is essential for research use and clinical translation. Objective: To evaluate the analytical performance of an automated plasma p-Tau217 immunoassay and characterize its discrimination of PET-defined amyloid status. Methods: We performed analytical validation of the Access Research Use Only (RUO) plasma p-Tau217 immunoassay on the Beckman Coulter DxI 9000 Access Immunoassay Analyzer and evaluated biomarker discrimination of PET-defined amyloid pathology in a subset of the Bio-Hermes-001 cohort spanning the symptomatic cognitive continuum (mild cognitive impairment or mild AD dementia; cognitively unimpaired participants excluded; n = 449). Analytical precision, sensitivity, linearity, specificity, interference, and sample stability were assessed per Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute guidelines. Discrimination of PET-defined amyloid status was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve and indeterminate zone analyses. Results: The assay demonstrated high precision (within-laboratory CV </=7.1%), excellent sensitivity (limit of detection 0.018-0.021 pg/mL), linearity across the analytical measuring range (R-squared > 0.99), strong epitope specificity (</=1.0% cross-reactivity with other tau phosphoisoforms), and minimal interference from over 60 endogenous and exogenous substances. In 449 research participants plasma p-Tau217 showed strong discrimination between amyloid-positive and amyloid-negative groups (AUC 0.881; 95% CI 0.846-0.915). Application of indeterminate zones systematically improved classification metrics at the cost of fewer definitive classifications. Conclusions: These findings support the Access p-Tau217 (RUO) assay as a robust, high-throughput assay for plasma biomarker-based discrimination of PET-defined amyloid pathology in AD applications.

Importance: Patients are increasingly learning Alzheimers disease (AD) genetic and biomarker results through electronic health portals. Evaluation of alternative scalable delivery models for return of AD risk information is needed to best support patient understanding and psychological well-being. Objective: To determine whether a patient-centered digital platform is comparable to clinician-mediated telehealth sessions for returning APOE and plasma pTau-217 results on outcomes of knowledge and psychological well-being. Design: The Evaluation of Self-Mediated Alternatives for Risk Testing Education and Return of Results (eSMARTER) study was a noninferiority trial of a patient-centered digital platform compared to clinician-mediated disclosure of APOE genotype and optional pTau-217 disclosure. Setting: Decentralized, fully remote trial enrolled participants in the contiguous United States (U.S.) between October 2024 and February 2025, with follow-up completed in November 2025. Participants: Eligible participants were aged 60-80 and had previously undergone APOE genotyping (without disclosure) via the GeneMatch program, passed psychological screening, had internet access, and were English-speaking. Interventions: Participants were randomized, 2:1, to the eSMARTER digital platform or clinician-mediated disclosure of APOE genotype. Following the 6-month post-APOE assessment, participants were offered optional pTau-217 disclosure via the same randomized modality. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes at 1-7 days following APOE disclosure included changes in anxiety, disease-specific distress, and AD-related knowledge within a priori non-inferiority margins. Results: 674 persons (mean [SD] age 68 [4.7] years; 451 [67%] female; mean [SD] telephone MoCA=19 [2]) were eligible and provided demographic information. 651 participants were randomized to clinician-mediated (n=216) or digital disclosure (n=435) and completed APOE disclosure (66 [10%] APOE4 homozygotes, 377 [58%] heterozygotes, 208 [32%] non-carriers). 604 participants completed the study; 500 completed optional pTau-217 disclosure. Baseline characteristics were balanced across groups. At 1-7 days following APOE disclosure, scores on AD-related knowledge, PROMIS Anxiety, and disease-specific distress measures met non-inferiority. Conclusions and Relevance: Disclosure of APOE genotype by the eSMARTER digital platform is non-inferior to clinician-mediated telehealth disclosure. No significant between group differences were found following disclosure of pTau-217 results. Together, these results suggest that this digital platform may provide an evidence-based scalable approach for returning AD genetic and biomarker results.

Despite extensive knowledge of the progressive sequence of cognitive and functional deficits in Alzheimer's Disease (AD), the impact of neurodegeneration on the conscious experience of patients remains largely unexplored. Understanding how the content of consciousness, particularly perceptual awareness, changes with the progression of AD is crucial to enable meaningful person-centred care. This is especially important in severe AD when impairments in language and other cognitive domains mean people are unable to report their experiences. We investigated whether electrophysiological (EEG) and fMRI signatures of perceptual awareness described in healthy older people are present in people with mild-moderate and severe AD using two "no-report" paradigms. Firstly, a visual masking paradigm examined visual awareness negativity (VAN) and late positive (LP) electrophysiological responses and activation in visual cortex and fronto-parietal regions that are characteristically associated with conscious perception of faces; and second, a complex audio-visual (movie) task examined activation in fronto-parietal networks previously associated with perceptual awareness. In healthy older controls we found cortical responses characteristic of awareness in both EEG and fMRI modalities, with VAN and LP markers and widespread occipital, fusiform face area and fronto-parietal activation. In people with mild-moderate AD, there were significant reductions in VAN and LP markers and reduced fronto-parietal activation. In participants with severe AD, who were behaviourally minimally responsive, there was only limited evidence of presence of frontoparietal markers of perceptual awareness, however this may reflect attentional and task insensitivity in people with advanced dementia. These results demonstrate that the brain mechanisms associated with perceptual awareness become increasingly impaired with progression of AD. Specifically, involvement of frontoparietal networks is reduced in AD, which may reflect reduced higher-level awareness. This suggests AD should be considered a disorder of consciousness and should motivate further investigation into the dimensions of awareness affected by the disorder with implications for treatment and management of people with dementia.

Service members with traumatic brain injury are at approximately two- to four-fold higher risk of Alzheimer's disease or related dementias than those without such an injury, with risk increasing with injury severity. The amyloid/tau/neurodegeneration biomarker framework treats amyloid, tau, and neurodegeneration as independent axes but omits astroglial injury, despite evidence that reactive astrogliosis (indexed by glial fibrillary acidic protein, GFAP) must be elevated for cognitive decline to occur in amyloid-positive individuals. Total GFAP immunoassays aggregate intact protein with multiple calpain- and caspase-cleaved proteoforms, blurring the biological signal. We compared a calpain-cleaved GFAP neoepitope, the glial fibrillary acidic protein neoepitope (neoGFAP), against total GFAP across the full traumatic brain injury--mild cognitive impairment--Alzheimer's disease continuum in Veterans using a two-stage plasma-to-cerebrospinal-fluid biomarker approach. A plasma triage gate combining phosphorylated tau 217 and amyloid beta 42 was applied to 367 unique subjects; a cerebrospinal-fluid benchmarking cohort of 57 subjects (controls, chronic blast traumatic brain injury, mild cognitive impairment, and Alzheimer's disease) received head-to-head neoGFAP and total GFAP measurement. In the whole benchmarking cohort, neoGFAP discriminated mild cognitive impairment plus Alzheimer's disease from non-Alzheimer subjects with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0.81 versus 0.73 for total GFAP, a trend-level advantage that did not reach nominal significance. Within the gate-positive, amyloid-committed subset of 23 subjects, neoGFAP dominance became significant by McNemar's exact test (six discordant subjects favored neoGFAP, none the reverse). Across diagnostic contrasts, neoGFAP outperformed total GFAP for Alzheimer's disease versus control and, importantly for Veterans, for mild cognitive impairment versus chronic blast-exposed Veterans without cognitive impairment. In chronic blast injury, neoGFAP was paradoxically depleted relative to controls, consistent with tissue sequestration of aggregated proteoform fragments. Unbiased proteomic profiling confirmed coordinated elevation across astrocytic, neuronal, mitochondrial, and microglial compartments. An exploratory subject-level reclassification improved accuracy from 71.1 percent using plasma alone to 79.5 percent with added cerebrospinal-fluid markers and age. In a same-cohort ProQuantum replication (n=57), CSF neoGFAP preserved its discrimination advantage over total GFAP for MCI+AD versus non-AD (AUROC 0.76 vs 0.72; cross-platform Spearman {rho}=0.84), while plasma neoGFAP achieved AUROC 0.90, comparable to pTau217 (0.92) and exceeding A{beta}42/40 (0.84). In this small sample, neoGFAP is a superior proteoform-resolved diagnostic and prognostic biomarker across the continuum and supports adding an astroglial-proteoform axis to amyloid/tau/neurodegeneration biomarker frameworks in high-risk populations.

Background Understanding the mechanisms underlying brain aging and age-related pathological changes is essential for advancing brain health research. Our group previously developed a mechanistic mathematical model of healthy brain, Chamberland et al. (2024) that integrates key biological processes involved in normal aging, from which Alzheimer's disease (AD) related changes may emerge naturally. Objectives To characterize and validate this brain model by evaluating its sensitivity, calibrating its parameters, and assessing generalizability in independent populations. Methods The model represents the evolution of key biological processes associated with brain aging, including amyloid beta (A{beta}), tau pathologies, neuroinflammation, and neuronal death. After identifying the 30 most influential parameters, we calibrated the model using cognitively normal (CN) participants from the AD Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database (n = 211) by minimizing a loss function composed of three outcomes (AB) plaques, tau tangles, and neuronal density). The calibrated model was then applied to the UK Biobank cohort (n = 35,899) of normal controls (aged 44-82 years). The effects of sex and APOE were evaluated using stratified simulations. Results Parameter calibration significantly reduced the prediction errors for A{beta} and tau. Neuronal density predictions showed strong agreement in the UK Biobank cohort. The variance decomposition identified APOE status as a major contributor to variability in A{beta}. Conclusion Our validated brain health model links mechanistic pathways with population data and reproduces neuronal density patterns in an independent cohort. These findings support its use as a framework for studying brain aging and investigating how Alzheimer's disease related pathological changes may emerge with aging.

Objective: Regression-based normative approaches are widely used in neuropsychology but often rely on score transformations to satisfy model assumptions. We compared previously published linear regression (LR)-based norms with norms derived using Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape (GAMLSS) for the brief cognitive battery used in the Norwegian Dementia Disease Initiation (DDI) cohort. Method: GAMLSS norms were developed using the same normative samples as the original LR norms for the Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimers Disease (CERAD) word list test, Trail Making Test (TMT) A and B, FAS phonemic fluency, and Visual Object and Space Perception Battery (VOSP) Silhouettes. Expected low-score frequencies and empirical base rates were assessed in a normative subsample (n = 131). Clinical implications were evaluated in the DDI clinical cohort (n = 643) using Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) classification, two-year diagnostic stability and change, and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers. Results: Compared with LR norms, GAMLSS yielded lower frequencies of low scores, primarily driven by CERAD delayed recall. Nevertheless, concordance between approaches was high (kappa = 0.91), with only 4.2% discordant classifications. Two-year diagnostic stability and change were broadly similar across approaches, and CSF biomarker profiles did not clearly favor either normative method. Conclusions: GAMLSS provided a more faithful representation of neuropsychological score distributions, particularly for bounded and non-normal outcomes. However, downstream clinical differences were modest in this setting, suggesting that well-calibrated LR norms may remain robust for clinical classification.

Background: The Centiloid (CL) scale standardizes global amyloid PET quantification and is widely used to define amyloid positivity. As a global summary measure, however, CL may not fully reflect the regional distribution of amyloid deposition, which can carry additional prognostic information about the rate of cognitive decline. Objective: To develop and externally validate a fixed, regional amyloid PET composite score that complements CL for predicting cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease. Methods: The Regional Amyloid PET Score (RAPS) was derived from 82 FreeSurfer regions using machine learning with bootstrap stability selection to predict the rate of change in CDR-Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB) in 433 amyloid-positive ADNI [18F]florbetapir participants. The fixed nine-region weights were applied without retraining in a cross-tracer ADNI [18F]florbetaben subset (N = 71; largely overlapping the discovery participants) and two external validation cohorts, NACC SCAN (N = 1531; four tracers) and OASIS-3 (N = 428). Results: RAPS comprised nine regions. In ADNI, RAPS correlated more strongly with CDR-SB slope than CL and showed higher discrimination of rapid decliners (AUC 0.813 vs 0.713). Performance was directionally consistent across validation cohorts; in NACC SCAN, RAPS and CL independently predicted clinical progression. Cross-cohort meta-analysis of the three independent cohorts supported incremental discrimination beyond CL (pooled {Delta}AUC +0.066; I2 = 0%). Conclusions: RAPS, a fixed regional amyloid PET-derived score, may complement CL for prognostic stratification in Alzheimer's disease research.

Background: The Boston Criteria v2.0 represent the gold standard for diagnosing Cerebral Amyloid Angiopathy (CAA), but their application is currently precluded in mixed small vessel disease (SVD), where deep and lobar hemorrhages coexist. The aims of this study are: (i) to determine which cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarker (A{beta}42, A{beta}40, A{beta}42/40 ratio) is the best candidate to support the CAA diagnosis; (ii) to define a data-driven cut-off, and (iii) to explore if a biomarker-integrated classification significantly improves the phenotypical concordance with the suspected predominant SVD (CAA vs. arteriosclerosis). Methods: We analyzed data from a retrospective multicenter cohort of patients with suspected CAA, defined as probable CAA (Boston criteria v2.0) but allowing deep hemorrhagic lesions, and with available CSF biomarkers. We visually quantified MRI-visible SVD markers (e.g., cerebral microbleeds [CMB], cortical superficial siderosis [cSS], lacunes) and their association with MRI-visible SVD features. We employed a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to identify a data-driven threshold for amyloid positivity (A+). Then, we compared the prevalence of MRI-visible manifestations of SVD between subgroups applying different frameworks, namely the current MRI-based classification (probable CAA vs. mixed SVD) and a CSF biomarker-integrated classification (A+ vs. A-). Results: We enrolled 121 patients (age: 72 [66-77] years; 60% probable CAA, 40% mixed SVD with suspected CAA). The CSF A{beta}42/40 ratio showed a bimodal distribution and consistent associations with all CAA-specific radiological features. The CSF biomarker-integrated reclassification, particularly using the GMM cut-off, significantly improved the distinction between subgroups regarding CAA- and arteriosclerosis-related MRI features (e.g., cSS presence: probable CAA vs. mixed SVD: aOR=2.84 [95%CI 1.27-6.39], p=0.011; A+ vs. A-: aOR=12.68 [95%CI 4.31-37.32], p<0.001; deep lacunes presence: probable CAA vs. mixed SVD: aOR=0.20 [95%CI 0.08-0.50], p<0.001; A+ vs. A-: aOR=0.04 [95%CI 0.01-0.11], p<0.001). Notably, patients classified as A+ never demonstrated more than four deep CMBs. Discussion: A CSF biomarker-integrated classification may improve the classification of CAA compared with the current MRI-based framework. These findings are cohort-specific and would benefit from further validation, especially with a neuropathological reference. Still, these results support a future transition toward an integrated biological-radiological framework, which may refine in vivo CAA diagnosis, particularly in mixed SVD.

Cross-sectional studies suggest associations between physical exercise and white matter in older adults, but evidence from randomized controlled trials is scarce. Neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging indices are biophysically informed metrics of white matter microstructure. Here, we tested whether a remotely delivered, 8-week multicomponent physical exercise intervention impacts neurite density (NDI) and orientation dispersion (ODI) across major white matter tracts in older adults. This secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial included participants with available diffusion MRI data (n = 66; age: 66.4 {+/-} 3.6 y; 43 females). Participants were randomized to a multicomponent exercise (PAG, n = 34) or an active control (CON, n = 32) intervention. Intervention effects on NDI/ODI were tested using linear mixed-effects and Bayesian multilevel models adjusted for age and sex. A significant Timepoint x Group interaction was observed for NDI (p = 0.003) but not for ODI (p = 0.785), further confirmed in Bayesian analyses for 22 white matter tracts, indicating a greater increase in NDI in the PAG. The standardized composite VO2max score increased from pre- to post-intervention within the PAG, although the Timepoint x Group interaction was not significant (p = 0.079). Across all participants, pre-to-post changes in mean NDI were positively correlated with changes in VO2max, but this association did not differ between groups. Our results indicate that white matter microstructure remains responsive to short-term, multicomponent physical exercise in older adults.

INTRODUCTION: Biomarkers for monitoring disease activity and treatment response in peripheral neuropathies remain limited. Big tau, a high-molecular-weight isoform of tau, is predominantly expressed in the peripheral nervous system (PNS). We investigated serum levels of big tau, brain-derived tau (BD-tau), and neurofilament light chain (NfL) in peripheral neuropathies, multiple sclerosis (MS), Alzheimer disease (AD), and healthy controls (HC). METHODS: Ultra-sensitive blood-based assays run on an HD-X Single Molecule Array analyser (Quanterix) were used to measure big tau and BD-tau in serum from patients with Guillain-Barr&eacute syndrome (GBS, n=81), Miller Fisher syndrome (MFS, n=20), Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease (CMT, n=102), chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP, n=43), MS (n=159), AD (n=20), and HC (n=41). NfL was measured in patients with neuropathies using an SR-X Single Molecule Array analyser (Quanterix). RESULTS: Serum big tau levels were higher in GBS than in AD (11.4 vs 2.4 pg/mL, p<0.0001) and MS (11.4 vs 9.0 pg/mL, p=0.01), and similar to CIDP and CMT. Contrarily, serum BD-tau levels in GBS were higher than in CIDP (3.0 vs 2.3 pg/mL, p=0.006) and MS (3.0 vs 1.7 pg/mL, p<0.0001), but similar to CMT, and lower than in AD (3.0 vs 9.8 pg/mL, p<0.0001). Serum NfL levels were higher in GBS than in CIDP (32.5 vs 13.0 pg/mL, p=0.0002), CMT (32.5 vs 12.3 pg/mL, p<0.0001), and HC (32.5 vs 7.6 pg/mL, p<0.0001). Compared with GBS, MFS patients showed higher BD-tau (12.7 vs 3.0 pg/mL, p=0.003), lower big tau (5.4 vs 11.4 pg/mL, p=0.002), and higher NfL levels, although the latter did not reach statistical significance (118.3 vs 32.5 pg/mL, p=0.16). The NfL/big tau ratio was significantly higher in MFS than in GBS, CIDP, and CMT. In GBS, BD-tau correlated with early clinical severity (MRC at 1 week; I-RODS at 4 weeks; maximum GBS-DS and GBS-DS at 4 weeks), whereas neither tau biomarker showed long-term clinical correlations. Higher BD-tau and big tau levels were associated with the need for mechanical ventilation (BD-tau: 8.6 vs 2.9 pg/mL, p=0.019; big tau: 19.7 vs 10.7 pg/mL, p=0.007), while higher BD-tau levels were associated with mortality (10.9 vs 2.9 pg/mL, p=0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Higher big tau levels in peripheral neuropathies than in CNS diseases support its role as a PNS-specific biomarker. In MFS, increased serum BD-tau, reduced big tau, and an elevated NfL/big tau ratio suggest CNS involvement with relative preservation of the PNS.

Background Ageing clocks are promising non-invasive tools to assess biological ageing, but they generally cannot guide intervention. We aimed to develop a urinary peptidomic ageing clock, expected to react to intervention, and to test whether the resulting age acceleration predicts all-cause mortality and adverse health outcomes. Methods In this retrospective multi-cohort study, urinary peptides were measured by capillary electrophoresis-mass spectrometry (CE-MS). An unconditioned clock (UPBioAge) was developed in a kidney function-preserved derivation cohort (n = 1,811), then conditioned on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) by Filtrate-Aware Calibration (FAC) fitted in an independent kidney-diverse cohort (n = 7,798), resulting in k-UPBioAge. Age prediction accuracy was evaluated in three cohorts independent of model development. Kidney-conditioned age acceleration (k-UPBioAgeAcc) was related to all-cause mortality and incident disease in a clinically enriched follow-up cohort (n = 7,469; 625 deaths; median follow-up 3.95 years) using Cox models adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities, body-mass index, mean arterial pressure and eGFR. Findings After standard age-bias correction, k-UPBioAge estimated chronological age with a calibrated holdout mean absolute error of 4.91 years (r = 0.945), and 5.43-5.47 years in two validation cohorts (one population cohort and the other samples analysed in an external site). Each SD increment in k-UPBioAgeAcc was associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.35-1.63), incident coronary artery disease (1.44, 1.27-1.63), heart failure (1.27, 1.14-1.42) and chronic kidney disease progression (1.35, 1.05-1.73). The association did not differ by sex (P for interaction = 0.33), and none of four comorbidity interactions survived correction for multiple testing (adjusted P = 0.65-0.72), but no association was evident in participants with an eGFR of 15-29 mL/min/1.73 m2 (n = 433, 84 deaths) or macroalbuminuria (n = 92, 34 deaths). Interpretation Multiple urinary peptides are significantly associated with ageing, enabling the establishment of a robust biological ageing clock. As urine is generated in the kidney, a urinary ageing clock is affected by kidney function, mandating correction. The corrected urinary peptide-based biological ageing clock is affected by disease, and may warrant evaluation for monitoring or guiding personalised interventions.

BACKGROUND People with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are at higher risk of cerebral small vessel disease and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), potentially contributing to cognitive decline and dementia. We aimed to describe brain volume and cognitive trajectories over 2 years in a cohort of people with T2DM and to determine whether LVH causes increased brain atrophy and cognitive decline. METHODS Diabetes and Dementia (D2) study is a multicentre observational cohort study in Melbourne, Australia. Participants aged >50 years were recruited via 2 hospital outpatient clinics, 3 private clinics, and study advertisements. Participants with pre-existing cognitive impairment, life-limiting medical illness, and severe chronic renal impairment were excluded. Participants attended study visits for brain MRI, transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), and cognitive testing at baseline and 2 years. The exposure was LVH determined on baseline TTE. Pre-specified outcomes were total brain volume (TBV) change and cognitive decline (z-score change?-1 in any cognitive domain) over 2 years. Regression analyses examined associations between baseline variables and outcomes. A causal inference approach was utilized using inverse probability of treatment weighting to standardize for confounding covariates, excluding participants for non-positivity on age and baseline TBV. RESULTS Participants were recruited 20May2016 to 20March2020: 2378 screened, 702 eligible, 196 consented, 150 baseline and 123 2-year assessments with complete MRI, TTE, and cognitive data (17.4% attrition). At baseline, LVH was associated with female sex, older age, lower educational attainment, lower mood, hypertension, obesity, beta-blocker use, and smaller TBV. Participants with baseline cognitive impairment exhibited greater brain atrophy. Lower educational attainment, hypertension, and lower baseline cognitive scores were associated with cognitive decline. Causal inference analysis included 62 participants with no LVH (20(32%) women; mean [SD]=66.9[5.9] years), and 31 with LVH (17(55%) women, 67.4[5.4] years). LVH caused lower TBV change: standardized mean difference (95% CI) 6.3 (0.1, 12.5) cm3, P=.048. LVH had no effect on cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS Brain atrophy and cognitive decline were associated with baseline cognitive impairment. LVH caused less brain atrophy and cognitive decline in people with T2DM. We conclude that guideline-directed LVH therapies such as beta-blockers have both cardioprotective (remodelling) and neuroprotective effects. TRIAL REGISTRATION ACTRN12616000546459 UTN: U1111-1181-6659

Background: The primary neuroanatomical site of Huntington-s disease (HD) pathology resides in the striatum and its atrophy identifies important disease progression from HD-ISS Stage 0 to Stage 1. Immune-associated proteins may capture variation in HD that is incompletely represented by markers of neuroaxonal injury. Objectives: To determine whether cerebrospinal-fluid myeloperoxidase contributes information about striatal volume loss beyond genetic disease burden and neurofilament light. Methods: Cross-sectional data from 88 persons with HD were analyzed. Cerebrospinal-fluid myeloperoxidase and neurofilament light were measured with a nucleic acid-linked immunosandwich assay. Normalized putamen volume was derived from structural magnetic resonance imaging. Linear regression adjusted for genetic disease burden and sex. Results: Higher neurofilament light was associated with smaller normalized putamen volume (standardized {beta} = -0.322, (P=.0066)). Higher myeloperoxidase was associated with larger normalized putamen volume after adjustment for genetic disease burden, sex, and neurofilament light (standardized {beta} = 0.183, (P=.0386)). Adding myeloperoxidase increased explained variance in striatal loss. Conclusions: Cerebrospinal fluid myeloperoxidase contributed modest incremental information about striatal volume in this cross-sectional sample. Independent longitudinal studies are needed to determine its biological source, temporal behavior, and potential biomarker value. Findings advance efforts to characterize multicomponent biological markers of HD.

Objective To measure the accuracy of clinical coding, clinician review, and a locally deployed large language model (LLM) in identifying alcohol, drug, and self-harm involvement in emergency department (ED) attendances, and quantify prevalence. Design Two-phase diagnostic accuracy study. In a validation week, the identification strategies were assessed against a conflict-adjudicated reference standard (n=2,256); the LLM was then applied to n=105,096 annual attendances at the same site. Setting UK Type 1 Emergency Department treating patients [&ge;]16yrs. Main outcome measures Prevalence quantification compared with the reference standard; sensitivity, specificity, and balanced accuracy of each strategy; monthly identification rates and adjusted annual prevalence. Results The reference standard identified 12.1% of attendances as involving alcohol, drugs, or self-harm (coding 6.0%; clinician 10.0%, LLM 15.6%). LLM balanced accuracy matched or outperformed clinician review in all three domains (alcohol 0.942 v 0.930, p=0.635; drug 0.959 v 0.791, p<0.001; self-harm 0.982 v 0.908, p=0.004). Coding recorded 1.07 domains per identified patient against 1.32 in the reference standard. Adjusted annual prevalence corresponded to 12,890 domain involvements per year not identifiable in coded data. Subdomain classification found at least 81.6% of self-harm attendances required medical assessment for injury or overdose before psychiatric review. Conclusions Clinical coding identified fewer than half of presentations involving alcohol, drugs, and self-harm and rarely captured co-occurring domains; under-recording was present across a full year. A locally deployed LLM generated more complete structured data from existing clinical text within NHS infrastructure, at a scale which is not feasible for manual review.

Objective: Cognitive impairment is a common comorbidity among people with epilepsy (PWE) and is associated with disability and reduced quality of life. We characterized the burden of cognitive impairment and identified factors associated with cognitive performance in a large, population-based cohort of PWE living in Northern Peru, a region highly endemic for Taenia solium where neurocysticercosis (NCC) is a common cause of acquired epilepsy. Methods: PWE enrolled in a population-based cohort in Northern Peru between 2007 and 2020 completed the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) at enrollment. Cognitive impairment was defined as an MMSE score <24. Demographic and clinical data, including epilepsy characteristics and NCC status, were collected. Negative binomial regression was used to identify factors associated with the number of MMSE errors. Results: Among 764 participants, the mean MMSE score was 26.4 (SD 4.2), and 16.4% met criteria for cognitive impairment. Memory and attention were the most affected domains. In multivariable analysis, older age and lower educational attainment were independently associated with poorer cognitive performance. Conclusion: In this large, community-based cohort from Northern Peru, approximately 1 in 6 PWE had abnormal global cognition on the MMSE, with memory and attention most affected. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating cognitive evaluation and management into comprehensive epilepsy care, particularly in resource-limited settings where cognitive morbidity may be underrecognized. Given the potential for cognitive difficulties to compound disability and adversely affect quality of life, identifying and addressing cognitive morbidity may be especially important in populations already facing substantial barriers to epilepsy care.

Background The time trend in long-term survival after a stroke is to some extent unknow due to (relatively) short follow up periods in available data. The objective of this study is to identify and quantify differences in long-term stroke survival in Sweden between men and women and patients with different attained educational levels, comparing two time-periods, 2000-2009 and 2010-2022. Methods This study employs total population Swedish register data pertaining to hospital-based care and mortality due to stroke for the period 2000-2022 in order to estimate survival (all-cause mortality) after ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke, respectively, and pertaining to attained educational level. Kaplan-Meier survival functions are estimated stratifying for time-period, sex and educational level. Cox regressions are employed to quantify mortality hazard ratios between the strata. Age is taken into account in complementary analyses (supplement). Results Taking only time-period (2000-2009 vs 2010-2022) into account resulted in significantly higher survival in the second period for ischaemic stroke patients (HR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.83-0.84), while no significant difference could be detected for haemorrhagic stroke. Stratifying for sex showed that men gained more than women in terms of reduced mortality hazard rate between the periods. Further stratifying by educational level and estimating survival separately for men and women showed that, for both men and women, patients with the lowest education were relatively worse off (compared to patients with higher education) in the second period. Further analyses, taking age into account, reversed the relative hazard ratio between men and women, but corroborated the result that low education is associated with poorer outcome than high education. Conclusions The results suggest that there are considerable differences in expected long-term survival after stroke between the sexes, but that this may be due to differences in age between the sexes at the time of stroke. Moreover, lower educational level is significantly associated with lower long-time survival.